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French election: Left surge threatens Macron majority in France

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The French president risks losing his parliamentary majority, amid a historically low turn out.

French President Emmanuel Macron kisses a child during the first round of French parliamentary elections, at a polling station in Le Touquet, France, June 12, 2022.Image source, Ludovic Marin/Reuters

Voting has ended in most of France in an election to decide whether Emmanuel Macron can continue governing with a majority in the National Assembly.

Turnout was set to be a historically low 47% in the first of two rounds.

The president’s main challenge comes from a left-wing alliance under Jean-Luc Mélenchon, who has set the unlikely target of becoming prime minister.

Mr Macron won a second term in April, but without an Assembly majority he will struggle to push through reforms.

Polling stations closed in most of France at 18:00 (16:00 GMT), but voting was continuing in the biggest cities of Paris, Marseille, Lyon and Toulouse for two more hours.

Turnout for the first round was the lowest for more than 20 years, with 39.42% of France’s 48.7 million voters casting ballots by 17:00. The main pollsters said it was set to be the lowest level in modern French history at around 47%. Many voters clearly decided to take advantage of the sunny weather across France, with temperatures in Paris hitting 27C.

Since coming a close third in the presidential election, Mr Mélenchon has built an alliance, called Nupes, made up of left-wing and green parties.

His group and Mr Macron’s Ensemble (Together) coalition of centrist parties were neck and neck in the opinion polls, and a strong performance from the left could stop Mr Macron winning the 289 seats he needs for a majority across France’s 577 constituencies.

Like the rest of Europe, France is facing spiralling inflation and the election has so far failed to spark into life.

While Mr Macron has spent the intervening weeks since he won a second term in building a new government under Elisabeth Borne, his main rival has campaigned on a platform of Mélenchon for prime minister.

Jean-Luc Melenchon (R) leader of the "NUPES" (Nouvelle Union Populaire Ecologique et Sociale) a coalition of Leftist and Ecologist parties prepares to cast his vote in the first round of the French legislatives elections, at a polling station in Marseille

Image source, EPA

That seems improbable, but he has managed to galvanise left-wing and green voters. Nupes wants to lower the retirement age to 60, freeze prices on 100 essentials and create a million jobs. Mr Macron’s Ensemble intends to raise the retirement age gradually to 65.

The new prime minister, Ms Borne, in common with 14 other ministers, will have to win their seats to stay in government. And as each constituency is an individual local race, this election will play out over two weeks.

Unless a candidate wins more than 50% of the vote on Sunday based on a quarter of the electorate, the race goes into a second round in a week’s time, involving the top two candidates and anyone else who wins 12.5% of the vote.

French Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne, candidate under the presidential majority "Ensemble", leaves a polling booth in the first round of French parliamentary elections, at a polling station in Vire-Normandie

Image source, Reuters

Far-right Marine Le Pen, who was runner-up in the presidential elections, is hoping to increase the number of her party’s seats from eight to at least 15, which would give her far greater strength in parliament.

The mainstream right, which fared badly in the April vote, has focused its campaigning locally. Commentators have warned the Republicans are struggling for survival but their leaders are hoping for a surprise revival.

The fact that one in two French voters had stayed away from the ballot box on Sunday was worrying, said political scientist Olivier Rouquan. People felt they had already expressed their opinions in the presidential election, he believed.

Until 2002, the two elections were kept apart, which meant the government was sometimes led by a different party from the president, in what became known as cohabitation. If Mr Macron loses his majority he could be forced into cohabitation with the left.

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